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Westchester, NY · ZIP 10538 · Census Tract 36119007100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.65M
Downside (P10)
$1.39M
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.79M
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.48M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.8M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +11.6% | +1.0% | -3.9% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +11.8% | +1.7% | +18.1% | +1.1% | +4.0% | +1.6% | +2.3% | -6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $2.2M | $2.5M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$1.37M to $2.05M
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.46M to $1.91M
27.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamaroneck · Larchmont · (Tract 71) | $1.64M | $1.79M | +9.2% | |
| Pelham | $1.62M | $1.76M | +8.2% | |
| Rye | $1.77M | $1.91M | +7.8% | |
| Harrison (Tract 008602) | $1.74M | $1.84M | +5.8% | |
| Scarsdale | $1.57M | $1.65M | +5.0% | |
| Harrison (Tract 008401) | $1.50M | $1.53M | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamaroneck · Larchmont · (Tract 71) | $1.64M | $1.79M | +9.2% | |
| New Rochelle | $669K | $839K | +25.4% | |
| Yonkers (Tract 002106) | $543K | $665K | +22.5% | |
| Port Chester | $634K | $762K | +20.2% | |
| Yonkers (Tract 001305) | $540K | $646K | +19.6% | |
| Greenburgh | $409K | $489K | +19.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamaroneck · Larchmont · (Tract 71) | $1.64M | $1.79M | $1.09M | |
| Yonkers (Tract 002203) | $198K | $212K | $114K | |
| Yonkers (Tract 000404) | $208K | $228K | $110K | |
| Mount Kisco | $228K | $244K | $102K | |
| Ossining | $237K | $258K | $98K | |
| Yonkers (Tract 000203) | $121K | $123K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.