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Washington, NY · Census Tract 36115480000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$608K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$938K
+96% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +96%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $479K | $531K | $529K | $554K | $608K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$51,945 | +$50,343 | +$75,592 | +$129,648 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.9% | +10.5% | +15.8% | +27.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $407K | $379K | $351K | $367K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $760K | $803K | $828K | $938K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$407K to $760K
66.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$367K to $938K
93.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480000 | $479K | $608K | +27.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 560001) | $523K | $777K | +48.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 920007) | $483K | $652K | +35.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 720003) | $499K | $632K | +26.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 200002) | $451K | $535K | +18.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 640002) | $570K | $586K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480000 | $479K | $608K | +27.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 560001) | $523K | $777K | +48.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 920007) | $483K | $652K | +35.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 720003) | $499K | $632K | +26.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 200002) | $451K | $535K | +18.6% | |
| Jackson | $247K | $288K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480000 | $479K | $608K | $570K | |
| Whitehall | $129K | $143K | $75K | |
| Kingsbury | $304K | $313K | $71K | |
| Easton | $252K | $250K | $61K | |
| Hudson Falls | $173K | $174K | $46K | |
| Granville | $150K | $151K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, NY · Census Tract 36115480000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$608K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$938K
+96% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +96%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $479K | $531K | $529K | $554K | $608K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$51,945 | +$50,343 | +$75,592 | +$129,648 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.9% | +10.5% | +15.8% | +27.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $407K | $379K | $351K | $367K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $760K | $803K | $828K | $938K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$407K to $760K
66.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$367K to $938K
93.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480000 | $479K | $608K | +27.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 560001) | $523K | $777K | +48.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 920007) | $483K | $652K | +35.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 720003) | $499K | $632K | +26.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 200002) | $451K | $535K | +18.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 640002) | $570K | $586K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480000 | $479K | $608K | +27.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 560001) | $523K | $777K | +48.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 920007) | $483K | $652K | +35.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 720003) | $499K | $632K | +26.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 200002) | $451K | $535K | +18.6% | |
| Jackson | $247K | $288K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480000 | $479K | $608K | $570K | |
| Whitehall | $129K | $143K | $75K | |
| Kingsbury | $304K | $313K | $71K | |
| Easton | $252K | $250K | $61K | |
| Hudson Falls | $173K | $174K | $46K | |
| Granville | $150K | $151K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
