What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36113075002 in Chester?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $293,674 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36113075002 in Chester?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $293,674 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.7%.

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Parcel 36113075002 (Chester) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36113075002, Chester Home Price Forecast

Warren, NY · ZIP 12853 · Census Tract 36113075002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$294K

Downside (P10)

$254K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$304K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$426K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$164K	$164K	$189K	$226K	$278K	$294K	$298K	$304K	$304K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$129,674	-$129,274	-$104,574	-$67,274	-$16,074		+$3,861	+$10,086	+$10,755
Growth % vs 2026	-44.2%	-44.0%	-35.6%	-22.9%	-5.5%		+1.3%	+3.4%	+3.7%
Downside (P10)							$264K	$265K	$254K
Upside (P90)							$345K	$390K	$426K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$264K to $345K

27.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$254K to $426K

56.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.7% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36113075002, Chester on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).