What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36113072002 in Lake George?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $433,090 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36113072002 in Lake George?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $433,090 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.1%.

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Parcel 36113072002 (Lake George) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36113072002, Lake George Home Price Forecast

Warren, NY · ZIP 12845 · Census Tract 36113072002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$433K

Downside (P10)

$365K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$498K

+15% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$652K

+51% by 2030

Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$378K	$357K	$377K	$411K	$390K	$433K	$450K	$481K	$498K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$55,290	-$76,090	-$56,190	-$21,890	-$43,390		+$16,557	+$47,411	+$65,358
Growth % vs 2026	-12.8%	-17.6%	-13.0%	-5.1%	-10.0%		+3.8%	+10.9%	+15.1%
Downside (P10)							$379K	$380K	$365K
Upside (P90)							$523K	$596K	$652K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$379K to $523K

32.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$365K to $652K

57.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +15.1% · Spread: 58%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36113072002, Lake George on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).