What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36105951802 in Thompson?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $172,115 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36105951802 in Thompson?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $172,115 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.0%.

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Parcel 36105951802 (Thompson) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36105951802, Thompson Home Price Forecast

Sullivan, NY · ZIP 12701 · Census Tract 36105951802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$172K

Downside (P10)

$145K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$196K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$257K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$165K	$159K	$144K	$158K	$167K	$172K	$173K	$182K	$196K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$7,315	-$13,315	-$27,815	-$14,515	-$5,115		+$1,352	+$9,450	+$24,031
Growth % vs 2026	-4.3%	-7.7%	-16.2%	-8.4%	-3.0%		+0.8%	+5.5%	+14.0%
Downside (P10)							$153K	$151K	$145K
Upside (P90)							$204K	$234K	$257K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$153K to $204K

29.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$145K to $257K

57.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.0% · Spread: 57%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36105951802, Thompson on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).