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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11733 · Census Tract 36103159700 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$715K
Downside (P10)
$666K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$799K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$958K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $535K | $543K | $660K | $673K | $704K | $715K | $735K | $768K | $799K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +21.5% | +2.0% | +4.7% | +1.6% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $662K | $636K | $666K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $829K | $902K | $958K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$662K to $829K
22.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$666K to $958K
36.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Setauket | $713K | $799K | +12.0% | |
| Huntington (Tract 110103) | $718K | $834K | +16.2% | |
| Smithtown | $716K | $818K | +14.3% | |
| Setauket | $720K | $786K | +9.2% | |
| Huntington (Tract 110901) | $715K | $775K | +8.4% | |
| Commack | $712K | $762K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Setauket | $713K | $799K | +12.0% | |
| Islip (Tract 147401) | $511K | $609K | +19.1% | |
| Islip (Tract 146206) | $500K | $595K | +19.0% | |
| Shirley | $406K | $480K | +18.3% | |
| Ronkonkoma | $578K | $681K | +17.9% | |
| Port Jefferson Station | $553K | $651K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Setauket | $713K | $799K | $292K | |
| Calverton | $224K | $238K | $140K | |
| Coram | $291K | $309K | $135K | |
| Rocky Point | $248K | $260K | $135K | |
| Middle Island | $248K | $279K | $134K | |
| Southampton | $230K | $252K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.