What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103145809 in Ronkonkoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $505,332 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103145809 in Ronkonkoma?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $505,332 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.5%.

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Parcel 36103145809 (Ronkonkoma) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36103145809, Ronkonkoma Home Price Forecast

Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11779 · Census Tract 36103145809 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$505K

Downside (P10)

$423K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$523K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$707K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$355K	$371K	$420K	$484K	$483K	$505K	$506K	$516K	$523K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$150,432	-$134,532	-$85,432	-$21,732	-$22,532		+$562	+$10,206	+$17,506
Growth % vs 2026	-29.8%	-26.6%	-16.9%	-4.3%	-4.5%		+0.1%	+2.0%	+3.5%
Downside (P10)							$427K	$429K	$423K
Upside (P90)							$577K	$685K	$707K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$427K to $577K

29.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$423K to $707K

54.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.5% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36103145809, Ronkonkoma on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).