What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103169903 in Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1699.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $462,488 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103169903 in Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1699.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $462,488 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

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Parcel 36103169903 (Riverhead) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36103169903, Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1699.3) Home Price Forecast

Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11901 · Census Tract 36103169903 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$462K

Downside (P10)

$393K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$485K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$592K

+28% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$399K	$425K	$446K	$474K	$466K	$462K	$471K	$492K	$485K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$63,688	-$37,588	-$16,288	+$11,912	+$3,212		+$8,733	+$29,722	+$22,545
Growth % vs 2026	-13.8%	-8.1%	-3.5%	+2.6%	+0.7%		+1.9%	+6.4%	+4.9%
Downside (P10)							$425K	$394K	$393K
Upside (P90)							$540K	$563K	$592K

Forecast Confidence

77%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$425K to $540K

24.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$393K to $592K

41.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.9% · Spread: 41%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36103169903, Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1699.3) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).