What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103169705 in Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1697.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $638,763 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103169705 in Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1697.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $638,763 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

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Parcel 36103169705 (Riverhead) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36103169705, Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1697.5) Home Price Forecast

Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11901 · Census Tract 36103169705 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$639K

Downside (P10)

$551K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$714K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$950K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$453K	$447K	$496K	$555K	$603K	$639K	$647K	$687K	$714K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$185,663	-$191,663	-$142,963	-$84,263	-$36,163		+$8,091	+$47,762	+$74,922
Growth % vs 2026	-29.1%	-30.0%	-22.4%	-13.2%	-5.7%		+1.3%	+7.5%	+11.7%
Downside (P10)							$567K	$568K	$551K
Upside (P90)							$761K	$854K	$950K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$567K to $761K

30.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$551K to $950K

55.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.7% · Spread: 56%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36103169705, Riverhead · 11901 · (Tract 1697.5) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).