What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103158901 in Patchogue · 11772 · (Tract 1589.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $516,835 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103158901 in Patchogue · 11772 · (Tract 1589.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $516,835 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.9%.

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Parcel 36103158901 (Patchogue) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36103158901, Patchogue · 11772 · (Tract 1589.1) Home Price Forecast

Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11772 · Census Tract 36103158901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$517K

Downside (P10)

$478K

-7% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$553K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$727K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$379K	$404K	$467K	$496K	$512K	$517K	$523K	$548K	$553K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$138,135	-$112,635	-$49,535	-$20,535	-$4,435		+$5,836	+$31,058	+$35,770
Growth % vs 2026	-26.7%	-21.8%	-9.6%	-4.0%	-0.9%		+1.1%	+6.0%	+6.9%
Downside (P10)							$468K	$486K	$478K
Upside (P90)							$623K	$672K	$727K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$468K to $623K

29.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$478K to $727K

45.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.9% · Spread: 45%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36103158901, Patchogue · 11772 · (Tract 1589.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).