What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103158806 in North Patchogue · Patchogue · (Tract 1588.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $458,483 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 1.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103158806 in North Patchogue · Patchogue · (Tract 1588.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $458,483 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 1.4%.

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Parcel 36103158806 (North Patchogue) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36103158806, North Patchogue · Patchogue · (Tract 1588.6) Home Price Forecast

Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11772 · Census Tract 36103158806 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$458K

Downside (P10)

$365K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$465K

+1% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$643K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$339K	$346K	$377K	$427K	$451K	$458K	$462K	$464K	$465K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$119,383	-$112,883	-$81,983	-$31,083	-$7,683		+$3,631	+$5,639	+$6,214
Growth % vs 2026	-26.0%	-24.6%	-17.9%	-6.8%	-1.7%		+0.8%	+1.2%	+1.4%
Downside (P10)							$397K	$381K	$365K
Upside (P90)							$555K	$614K	$643K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$397K to $555K

34.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$365K to $643K

59.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: roughly flat5yr expected: +1.4% · Spread: 60%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36103158806, North Patchogue · Patchogue · (Tract 1588.6) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).