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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Staten Island, NY · ZIP 10304 · Census Tract 36085017702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$923K
Downside (P10)
$833K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.00M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $923K | $951K | $977K | $1.0M | $903K |
| YoY Change | +3.1% | +2.8% | +2.6% | -10.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $850K | $859K | $833K | $789K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.0M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$850K to $1.16M
33.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$789K to $1.02M
25.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Park (Tract 024800) | $902K | $1.06M | +17.7% | |
| Morrisania | $919K | $1.07M | +16.6% | |
| Morris Park (Tract 026400) | $896K | $1.03M | +14.6% | |
| Soundview | $882K | $941K | +6.7% | |
| Riverdale | $947K | $977K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton | $224K | $281K | +25.5% | |
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | +22.8% | |
| Pawling | $386K | $473K | +22.6% | |
| West Farms | $786K | $961K | +22.4% | |
| Plattsburgh | $182K | $223K | +22.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.