Saratoga, NY · ZIP 12074 · Census Tract 36091061500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$415K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$568K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Saratoga markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $230K | $247K | $247K | $259K | $285K | $278K | $312K | $353K | $365K | $380K | $391K | $402K | $415K | $384K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | +7.3% | -0.1% | +4.9% | +10.2% | -2.5% | +12.0% | +13.3% | +3.3% | +4.1% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +3.4% | -7.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $320K | $327K | $312K | $339K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $455K | $518K | $568K | $429K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$320K to $455K
34.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$339K to $429K
23.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway | $367K | $415K | +13.3% | |
| Saratoga Springs | $381K | $393K | +3.0% | |
| Moreau | $377K | $411K | +8.9% | |
| Clifton Park | $387K | $412K | +6.5% | |
| Clifton Park | $370K | $396K | +6.9% | |
| Clifton Park | $394K | $419K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway | $367K | $415K | +13.3% | |
| Clifton Park | $365K | $428K | +17.3% | |
| Malta | $466K | $535K | +14.8% | |
| Ballston | $346K | $397K | +14.6% | |
| Saratoga Springs | $687K | $786K | +14.4% | |
| Corinth | $190K | $216K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway | $367K | $415K | $256K | |
| Corinth | $190K | $216K | $97K | |
| Waterford | $160K | $170K | $101K | |
| Malta | $234K | $257K | $108K | |
| South Glens Falls | $215K | $231K | $113K | |
| Mechanicville | $174K | $178K | $117K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.