What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36087012504 in Chestnut Ridge?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $755,924 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36087012504 in Chestnut Ridge?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $755,924 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

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Parcel 36087012504 (Chestnut Ridge) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36087012504, Chestnut Ridge Home Price Forecast

Rockland, NY · ZIP 10977 · Census Tract 36087012504 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$756K

Downside (P10)

$620K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$813K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.07M

+41% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$476K	$512K	$565K	$648K	$730K	$756K	$781K	$821K	$813K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$280,424	-$244,424	-$190,924	-$108,324	-$25,524		+$25,080	+$65,311	+$56,647
Growth % vs 2026	-37.1%	-32.3%	-25.3%	-14.3%	-3.4%		+3.3%	+8.6%	+7.5%
Downside (P10)							$639K	$644K	$620K
Upside (P90)							$949K	$1.0M	$1.1M

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$639K to $949K

39.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$620K to $1.1M

55.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.5% · Spread: 55%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36087012504, Chestnut Ridge on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).