What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36083041102 in Troy · 12180 · (Tract 411.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $196,763 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36083041102 in Troy · 12180 · (Tract 411.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $196,763 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.3%.

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Parcel 36083041102 (Troy) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36083041102, Troy · 12180 · (Tract 411.2) Home Price Forecast

Rensselaer, NY · ZIP 12180 · Census Tract 36083041102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$197K

Downside (P10)

$163K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$213K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$277K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$161K	$161K	$187K	$194K	$193K	$197K	$198K	$206K	$213K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$36,163	-$35,763	-$9,963	-$3,063	-$3,563		+$1,685	+$8,796	+$16,353
Growth % vs 2026	-18.4%	-18.2%	-5.1%	-1.6%	-1.8%		+0.9%	+4.5%	+8.3%
Downside (P10)							$168K	$164K	$163K
Upside (P90)							$229K	$262K	$277K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$168K to $229K

30.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$163K to $277K

53.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.3% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36083041102, Troy · 12180 · (Tract 411.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).