Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Rensselaer, NY · ZIP 12144 · Census Tract 36083052301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$433K
Downside (P10)
$354K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$456K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$609K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $244K | $256K | $267K | $265K | $286K | $292K | $304K | $372K | $419K | $428K | $433K | $438K | $444K | $456K |
| YoY Change | +4.7% | +4.3% | -0.7% | +7.9% | +2.2% | +3.9% | +22.5% | +12.7% | +2.0% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $375K | $368K | $354K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $503K | $556K | $609K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$375K to $503K
29.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$354K to $609K
56.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Greenbush | $434K | $456K | +5.1% | |
| East Greenbush (Tract 052402) | $483K | $533K | +10.3% | |
| North Greenbush | $358K | $390K | +8.9% | |
| Brunswick | $358K | $390K | +8.8% | |
| Sand Lake | $398K | $424K | +6.5% | |
| East Greenbush (Tract 052407) | $336K | $357K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Greenbush | $434K | $456K | +5.1% | |
| Hoosick Falls | $157K | $185K | +17.9% | |
| Sand Lake | $322K | $378K | +17.6% | |
| Troy (Tract 040800) | $190K | $223K | +17.2% | |
| Rensselaer | $244K | $286K | +16.9% | |
| Troy (Tract 041300) | $214K | $248K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Greenbush | $434K | $456K | $255K | |
| Petersburgh | $173K | $193K | $87K | |
| Troy (Tract 040300) | $158K | $175K | $85K | |
| Troy (Tract 040400) | $118K | $125K | $84K | |
| Rensselaer | $135K | $144K | $82K | |
| Hoosick Falls | $157K | $185K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.