Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Queens, NY · ZIP 11354 · Census Tract 36081115100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.16M
Downside (P10)
$910K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.19M
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.63M
+40% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $765K | $819K | $843K | $882K | $913K | $935K | $917K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +7.1% | +3.0% | +4.6% | +3.5% | +2.4% | -1.9% | +17.7% | +1.3% | +0.9% | +5.6% | +2.1% | -0.1% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $959K | $910K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.02M to $1.44M
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$910K to $1.63M
60.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downtown Flushing | $1.13M | $1.19M | +5.7% | |
| Downtown Flushing | $1.16M | $1.28M | +10.1% | |
| New York | $1.18M | $1.28M | +8.1% | |
| Ditmars | $1.16M | $1.24M | +7.1% | |
| Astoria | $1.16M | $1.23M | +6.3% | |
| Oakland Gardens | $1.17M | $1.24M | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downtown Flushing | $1.13M | $1.19M | +5.7% | |
| Jamaica | $952K | $1.19M | +24.6% | |
| Flushing | $616K | $753K | +22.4% | |
| Middle Village | $851K | $1.03M | +21.1% | |
| New York | $810K | $979K | +20.8% | |
| Cambria Heights | $661K | $791K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downtown Flushing | $1.13M | $1.19M | $718K | |
| Woodhaven | $310K | $335K | $143K | |
| Oakland Gardens | $299K | $333K | $137K | |
| East Elmhurst | $319K | $345K | $135K | |
| New York | $168K | $193K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.