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Queens, NY · ZIP 11691 · Census Tract 36081100803 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$667K
Downside (P10)
$562K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$721K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$964K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $566K | $540K | $627K | $650K | $647K | $667K | $688K | $704K | $721K | $660K |
| YoY Change | -4.6% | +16.1% | +3.7% | -0.5% | +3.1% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +2.5% | -8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $579K | $576K | $562K | $598K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $800K | $871K | $964K | $747K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$579K to $800K
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$598K to $747K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York · Far Rockaway · (Tract 1008.3) | $661K | $721K | +9.1% | |
| New York (Tract 050400) | $666K | $749K | +12.4% | |
| New York (Tract 030600) | $667K | $717K | +7.5% | |
| New York (Tract 004200) | $667K | $713K | +6.8% | |
| New York (Tract 028200) | $665K | $701K | +5.4% | |
| New York (Tract 017600) | $668K | $687K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York · Far Rockaway · (Tract 1008.3) | $661K | $721K | +9.1% | |
| New York (Tract 045600) | $952K | $1.19M | +24.6% | |
| New York (Tract 085700) | $616K | $753K | +22.4% | |
| New York (Tract 060300) | $851K | $1.03M | +21.1% | |
| New York (Tract 162100) | $810K | $979K | +20.8% | |
| New York (Tract 060800) | $661K | $791K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York · Far Rockaway · (Tract 1008.3) | $661K | $721K | $402K | |
| New York (Tract 064101) | $310K | $335K | $143K | |
| New York (Tract 129103) | $299K | $333K | $137K | |
| New York (Tract 035100) | $319K | $345K | $135K | |
| New York (Tract 094203) | $168K | $193K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.