What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36071014601 in Warwick · 10990 · (Tract 146.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $468,627 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36071014601 in Warwick · 10990 · (Tract 146.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $468,627 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.2%.

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Parcel 36071014601 (Warwick) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36071014601, Warwick · 10990 · (Tract 146.1) Home Price Forecast

Orange, NY · ZIP 10990 · Census Tract 36071014601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$469K

Downside (P10)

$366K

-22% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$484K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$648K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$352K	$367K	$413K	$438K	$457K	$469K	$467K	$482K	$484K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$116,427	-$102,027	-$55,827	-$30,727	-$11,927		-$2,092	+$13,067	+$15,219
Growth % vs 2026	-24.8%	-21.8%	-11.9%	-6.6%	-2.5%		-0.4%	+2.8%	+3.2%
Downside (P10)							$370K	$379K	$366K
Upside (P90)							$567K	$622K	$648K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$370K to $567K

42.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$366K to $648K

58.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.2% · Spread: 58%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36071014601, Warwick · 10990 · (Tract 146.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).