What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36071015202 in New Windsor · 12553 · (Tract 152.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $472,693 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36071015202 in New Windsor · 12553 · (Tract 152.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $472,693 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.7%.

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Parcel 36071015202 (New Windsor) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36071015202, New Windsor · 12553 · (Tract 152.2) Home Price Forecast

Orange, NY · ZIP 12553 · Census Tract 36071015202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$473K

Downside (P10)

$400K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$542K

+15% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$692K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$366K	$410K	$425K	$455K	$473K	$473K	$494K	$524K	$542K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$106,593	-$62,893	-$48,093	-$17,793	+$7		+$21,357	+$51,599	+$69,287
Growth % vs 2026	-22.6%	-13.3%	-10.2%	-3.8%	+0.0%		+4.5%	+10.9%	+14.7%
Downside (P10)							$421K	$427K	$400K
Upside (P90)							$604K	$647K	$692K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$421K to $604K

37.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$400K to $692K

53.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.7% · Spread: 54%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36071015202, New Windsor · 12553 · (Tract 152.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).