What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36059303203 in Garden City Park?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $905,239 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36059303203 in Garden City Park?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $905,239 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.2%.

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Parcel 36059303203 (Garden City Park) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36059303203, Garden City Park Home Price Forecast

Nassau, NY · ZIP 11040 · Census Tract 36059303203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$905K

Downside (P10)

$803K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.02M

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.30M

+44% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$671K	$704K	$789K	$882K	$887K	$905K	$938K	$986K	$1.0M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$233,939	-$201,539	-$116,239	-$23,639	-$18,039		+$33,089	+$80,722	+$110,383
Growth % vs 2026	-25.8%	-22.3%	-12.8%	-2.6%	-2.0%		+3.7%	+8.9%	+12.2%
Downside (P10)							$806K	$812K	$803K
Upside (P90)							$1.1M	$1.2M	$1.3M

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$806K to $1.1M

30.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$803K to $1.3M

49.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.2% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36059303203, Garden City Park on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).