What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36045060401 in Brownville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $222,683 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36045060401 in Brownville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $222,683 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.0%.

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Parcel 36045060401 (Brownville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36045060401, Brownville Home Price Forecast

Jefferson, NY · ZIP 13634 · Census Tract 36045060401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$223K

Downside (P10)

$200K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$245K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$303K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$159K	$157K	$182K	$193K	$212K	$223K	$229K	$232K	$245K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$63,483	-$65,783	-$40,483	-$29,483	-$10,683		+$6,061	+$9,247	+$22,244
Growth % vs 2026	-28.5%	-29.5%	-18.2%	-13.2%	-4.8%		+2.7%	+4.2%	+10.0%
Downside (P10)							$203K	$206K	$200K
Upside (P90)							$277K	$286K	$303K

Forecast Confidence

77%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$203K to $277K

32.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$200K to $303K

42.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +10.0% · Spread: 42%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36045060401, Brownville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).