What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36045060102 in Alexandria?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $169,437 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36045060102 in Alexandria?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $169,437 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.1%.

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Parcel 36045060102 (Alexandria) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36045060102, Alexandria Home Price Forecast

Jefferson, NY · ZIP 13679 · Census Tract 36045060102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$169K

Downside (P10)

$146K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$187K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$247K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$145K	$149K	$165K	$163K	$163K	$169K	$177K	$182K	$187K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$24,237	-$20,337	-$4,037	-$6,037	-$6,537		+$7,555	+$12,893	+$17,105
Growth % vs 2026	-14.3%	-12.0%	-2.4%	-3.6%	-3.9%		+4.5%	+7.6%	+10.1%
Downside (P10)							$152K	$155K	$146K
Upside (P90)							$203K	$229K	$247K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$152K to $203K

28.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$146K to $247K

54.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.1% · Spread: 54%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36045060102, Alexandria on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).