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Greene, NY · ZIP 12414 · Census Tract 36039081002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$372K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$392K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$510K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $178K | $258K | $279K | $356K | $372K | $376K | $376K | $392K | $372K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$184,290 | -$193,990 | -$114,290 | -$93,090 | -$16,390 | +$3,982 | +$3,767 | +$20,033 | -$619 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.5% | -52.1% | -30.7% | -25.0% | -4.4% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +5.4% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $327K | $325K | $305K | $323K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $454K | $470K | $510K | $418K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$327K to $454K
33.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$323K to $418K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catskill · 12414 · (Tract 810.2) | $360K | $392K | +9.1% | |
| Hunter (Tract 080404) | $313K | $338K | +8.0% | |
| Lexington area | $350K | $374K | +6.8% | |
| Hunter (Tract 080403) | $384K | $408K | +6.3% | |
| Windham | $326K | $343K | +5.3% | |
| Coxsackie | $321K | $335K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catskill · 12414 · (Tract 810.2) | $360K | $392K | +9.1% | |
| Ashland area | $222K | $251K | +13.0% | |
| Cairo | $243K | $268K | +10.4% | |
| New Baltimore | $297K | $327K | +10.3% | |
| Catskill | $239K | $262K | +9.7% | |
| Greenville | $244K | $266K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catskill · 12414 · (Tract 810.2) | $360K | $392K | $205K | |
| Ashland area | $222K | $251K | $128K | |
| Greenville | $244K | $266K | $122K | |
| Athens | $281K | $279K | $118K | |
| Catskill | $236K | $243K | $117K | |
| Coxsackie | $321K | $335K | $117K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Greene, NY · ZIP 12414 · Census Tract 36039081002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$372K
Downside (P10)
$305K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$392K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$510K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $178K | $258K | $279K | $356K | $372K | $376K | $376K | $392K | $372K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$184,290 | -$193,990 | -$114,290 | -$93,090 | -$16,390 | +$3,982 | +$3,767 | +$20,033 | -$619 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.5% | -52.1% | -30.7% | -25.0% | -4.4% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +5.4% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $327K | $325K | $305K | $323K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $454K | $470K | $510K | $418K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$327K to $454K
33.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$323K to $418K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catskill · 12414 · (Tract 810.2) | $360K | $392K | +9.1% | |
| Hunter (Tract 080404) | $313K | $338K | +8.0% | |
| Lexington area | $350K | $374K | +6.8% | |
| Hunter (Tract 080403) | $384K | $408K | +6.3% | |
| Windham | $326K | $343K | +5.3% | |
| Coxsackie | $321K | $335K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catskill · 12414 · (Tract 810.2) | $360K | $392K | +9.1% | |
| Ashland area | $222K | $251K | +13.0% | |
| Cairo | $243K | $268K | +10.4% | |
| New Baltimore | $297K | $327K | +10.3% | |
| Catskill | $239K | $262K | +9.7% | |
| Greenville | $244K | $266K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catskill · 12414 · (Tract 810.2) | $360K | $392K | $205K | |
| Ashland area | $222K | $251K | $128K | |
| Greenville | $244K | $266K | $122K | |
| Athens | $281K | $279K | $118K | |
| Catskill | $236K | $243K | $117K | |
| Coxsackie | $321K | $335K | $117K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
