What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36027220101 in Poughkeepsie · 12601 · (Tract 2201.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $165,648 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36027220101 in Poughkeepsie · 12601 · (Tract 2201.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $165,648 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.1%.

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Parcel 36027220101 (Poughkeepsie) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36027220101, Poughkeepsie · 12601 · (Tract 2201.1) Home Price Forecast

Dutchess, NY · ZIP 12601 · Census Tract 36027220101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$166K

Downside (P10)

$149K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$184K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$242K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$195K	$195K	$194K	$164K	$160K	$166K	$171K	$172K	$184K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$29,752	+$29,552	+$27,852	-$1,648	-$5,748		+$5,279	+$6,775	+$18,321
Growth % vs 2026	+18.0%	+17.8%	+16.8%	-1.0%	-3.5%		+3.2%	+4.1%	+11.1%
Downside (P10)							$144K	$140K	$149K
Upside (P90)							$199K	$221K	$242K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$144K to $199K

31.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$149K to $242K

50.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.1% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36027220101, Poughkeepsie · 12601 · (Tract 2201.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).