Chenango, NY · ZIP 13460 · Census Tract 36017970102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$154K
Downside (P10)
$138K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$175K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$224K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +45%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Chenango markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $114K | $111K | $125K | $125K | $153K | $154K | $157K | $165K | $175K | $160K |
| YoY Change | -2.8% | +13.3% | -0.3% | +22.6% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +5.1% | +5.9% | -8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $138K | $138K | $138K | $142K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $198K | $221K | $224K | $179K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$138K to $198K
37.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$142K to $179K
23.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus area | $154K | $175K | +13.7% | |
| New Berlin area | $155K | $168K | +8.6% | |
| McDonough area | $150K | $154K | +2.2% | |
| Afton | $162K | $174K | +7.4% | |
| Norwich area | $144K | $157K | +8.6% | |
| Coventry area | $143K | $153K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus area | $154K | $175K | +13.7% | |
| Otselic area | $113K | $129K | +14.1% | |
| Greene area | $173K | $197K | +13.9% | |
| Sherburne area | $129K | $147K | +13.8% | |
| Greene | $177K | $200K | +13.1% | |
| Guilford area | $115K | $129K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus area | $154K | $175K | $87K | |
| Smyrna area | $116K | $130K | $57K | |
| Guilford area | $115K | $129K | $59K | |
| Norwich | $112K | $123K | $59K | |
| Pharsalia area | $122K | $133K | $68K | |
| Guilford area | $121K | $130K | $71K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.