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Cattaraugus, NY · Census Tract 36009880004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$408K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$594K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$884K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $421K | $479K | $501K | $523K | $594K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$57,887 | +$79,205 | +$101,439 | +$172,712 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.7% | +18.8% | +24.1% | +41.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $379K | $377K | $389K | $408K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $626K | $695K | $768K | $884K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$379K to $626K
51.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$408K to $884K
80.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880004 | $421K | $594K | +41.0% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 320001) | $406K | $577K | +42.1% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 080008) | $511K | $623K | +21.8% | |
| Ellicottville | $301K | $329K | +9.3% | |
| Allegany area | $177K | $193K | +8.8% | |
| Ashford area | $191K | $197K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880004 | $421K | $594K | +41.0% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 560007) | $718K | $1.05M | +46.2% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 320001) | $406K | $577K | +42.1% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 080008) | $511K | $623K | +21.8% | |
| Napoli area | $122K | $139K | +14.0% | |
| Olean | $80K | $91K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880004 | $421K | $594K | $476K | |
| Randolph area | $117K | $121K | $30K | |
| Olean (Tract 961800) | $108K | $108K | $28K | |
| Leon area | $99K | $101K | $26K | |
| Red House area | $105K | $105K | $25K | |
| Olean (Tract 961700) | $78K | $77K | $19K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cattaraugus, NY · Census Tract 36009880004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$408K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$594K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$884K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $421K | $479K | $501K | $523K | $594K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$57,887 | +$79,205 | +$101,439 | +$172,712 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.7% | +18.8% | +24.1% | +41.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $379K | $377K | $389K | $408K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $626K | $695K | $768K | $884K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$379K to $626K
51.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$408K to $884K
80.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880004 | $421K | $594K | +41.0% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 320001) | $406K | $577K | +42.1% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 080008) | $511K | $623K | +21.8% | |
| Ellicottville | $301K | $329K | +9.3% | |
| Allegany area | $177K | $193K | +8.8% | |
| Ashford area | $191K | $197K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880004 | $421K | $594K | +41.0% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 560007) | $718K | $1.05M | +46.2% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 320001) | $406K | $577K | +42.1% | |
| Cattaraugus (Tract 080008) | $511K | $623K | +21.8% | |
| Napoli area | $122K | $139K | +14.0% | |
| Olean | $80K | $91K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880004 | $421K | $594K | $476K | |
| Randolph area | $117K | $121K | $30K | |
| Olean (Tract 961800) | $108K | $108K | $28K | |
| Leon area | $99K | $101K | $26K | |
| Red House area | $105K | $105K | $25K | |
| Olean (Tract 961700) | $78K | $77K | $19K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
