Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11223 · Census Tract 36047041402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.20M
Downside (P10)
$962K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.28M
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.02M
+68% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.1M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +10.4% | +79.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -42.7% | +5.0% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $1.0M | $962K | ||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.7M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.03M to $1.56M
43.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$962K to $2.02M
82.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravesend | $1.16M | $1.28M | +10.3% | |
| New York | $1.20M | $1.40M | +16.2% | |
| Williamsburg | $1.20M | $1.34M | +11.7% | |
| Kensington | $1.20M | $1.32M | +9.6% | |
| Midwood | $1.20M | $1.27M | +5.1% | |
| Bushwick | $1.20M | $1.25M | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravesend | $1.16M | $1.28M | +10.3% | |
| New York | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| Ocean Hill | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| Bushwick | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| Williamsburg | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravesend | $1.16M | $1.28M | $1.06M | |
| Sunset Park | $228K | $256K | $154K | |
| Coney Island | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| East New York | $118K | $132K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.