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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11224 · Census Tract 36047033000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$743K
Downside (P10)
$618K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$815K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.03M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $311K | $333K | $388K | $402K | $398K | $472K | $488K | $671K | $731K | $743K | $750K | $793K | $815K |
| YoY Change | +7.1% | +16.5% | +3.5% | -0.9% | +18.7% | +3.4% | +37.5% | +8.9% | +1.7% | +0.9% | +5.8% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $644K | $640K | $618K | ||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $928K | $982K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$644K to $928K
37.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$618K to $1.03M
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coney Island | $747K | $815K | +9.1% | |
| Flatbush | $745K | $860K | +15.4% | |
| Cypress Hills (Tract 118201) | $744K | $794K | +6.7% | |
| Cypress Hills (Tract 117601) | $745K | $788K | +5.7% | |
| East Flatbush | $744K | $786K | +5.6% | |
| Canarsie | $745K | $728K | -2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coney Island | $747K | $815K | +9.1% | |
| New York | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| Ocean Hill | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| Bushwick | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| Williamsburg | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coney Island | $747K | $815K | $415K | |
| Sunset Park | $228K | $256K | $154K | |
| Coney Island | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| East New York | $118K | $132K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.