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Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11217 · Census Tract 36047007100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.09M
Downside (P10)
$1.68M
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.16M
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.76M
+32% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $875K | $2.0M | $2.0M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.1M | $2.2M | $2.2M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | -21.7% | +128.6% | +0.0% | -12.5% | -3.7% | +18.7% | +0.0% | +4.5% | +4.3% | -1.0% | +0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M | |||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.6M | $2.5M | $2.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$1.74M to $2.56M
37.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.68M to $2.76M
50.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boerum Hill | $2.06M | $2.16M | +4.7% | |
| Park Slope | $2.04M | $2.33M | +13.8% | |
| Carroll Gardens | $2.04M | $2.27M | +11.5% | |
| Gravesend | $2.06M | $2.29M | +11.3% | |
| Boerum Hill (Tract 012700) | $2.06M | $2.24M | +9.2% | |
| Boerum Hill (Tract 012902) | $2.05M | $2.13M | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boerum Hill | $2.06M | $2.16M | +4.7% | |
| New York | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| Ocean Hill | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| Bushwick | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| Williamsburg | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boerum Hill | $2.06M | $2.16M | $1.08M | |
| Sunset Park | $228K | $256K | $154K | |
| Coney Island | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| East New York | $118K | $132K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.