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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brooklyn, NY · ZIP 11209 · Census Tract 36047005800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$932K
Downside (P10)
$770K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$971K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.28M
+38% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $690K | $824K | $823K | $832K | $875K | $873K | $893K | $1.1M | $1.0M | $912K | $932K | $963K | $974K | $971K |
| YoY Change | +19.4% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +5.2% | -0.3% | +2.3% | +18.9% | -1.7% | -12.6% | +2.2% | +3.4% | +1.1% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $793K | $779K | $770K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$793K to $1.15M
36.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$770K to $1.28M
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $914K | $971K | +6.2% | |
| New York (Tract 059404) | $932K | $1.09M | +17.0% | |
| New York (Tract 080600) | $929K | $1.04M | +12.4% | |
| New York (Tract 024100) | $936K | $1.01M | +7.8% | |
| New York (Tract 074800) | $933K | $1.00M | +7.5% | |
| New York (Tract 074400) | $926K | $994K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $914K | $971K | +6.2% | |
| New York (Tract 055700) | $1.22M | $1.48M | +21.3% | |
| New York (Tract 035900) | $1.06M | $1.28M | +20.8% | |
| New York (Tract 044300) | $1.55M | $1.85M | +19.5% | |
| New York (Tract 049100) | $638K | $761K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $914K | $971K | $514K | |
| New York (Tract 007000) | $228K | $256K | $154K | |
| New York (Tract 035000) | $220K | $239K | $126K | |
| New York (Tract 115200) | $118K | $132K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.