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Allegany, NY · ZIP 14804 · Census Tract 36003950800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$154K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$187K
+21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$225K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $92K | $90K | $91K | $98K | $100K | $111K | $126K | $139K | $150K | $154K | $158K | $174K | $187K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,596 | -$62,396 | -$64,096 | -$62,996 | -$56,296 | -$54,896 | -$43,396 | -$28,196 | -$15,596 | -$4,396 | +$3,113 | +$19,636 | +$32,524 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.9% | -40.4% | -41.5% | -40.8% | -36.5% | -35.6% | -28.1% | -18.3% | -10.1% | -2.8% | +2.0% | +12.7% | +21.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $137K | $138K | $140K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $185K | $203K | $225K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$137K to $185K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$140K to $225K
45.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | +22.8% | |
| Belfast area | $107K | $125K | +16.9% | |
| Almond area | $121K | $137K | +13.3% | |
| Allen area | $101K | $113K | +12.1% | |
| New Hudson area | $142K | $156K | +9.7% | |
| Centerville area | $139K | $149K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | +22.8% | |
| Allegany (Tract 760007) | $430K | $548K | +27.4% | |
| Allegany (Tract 040002) | $452K | $576K | +27.2% | |
| Allegany (Tract 840008) | $468K | $593K | +26.5% | |
| Allegany (Tract 160005) | $461K | $582K | +26.2% | |
| Allegany (Tract 800006) | $405K | $491K | +21.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | $84K | |
| Bolivar area | $84K | $96K | $53K | |
| Amity area | $91K | $94K | $52K | |
| Genesee area | $96K | $106K | $48K | |
| Cuba area | $99K | $106K | $46K | |
| Willing area | $87K | $101K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Allegany, NY · ZIP 14804 · Census Tract 36003950800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$154K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$187K
+21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$225K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $92K | $90K | $91K | $98K | $100K | $111K | $126K | $139K | $150K | $154K | $158K | $174K | $187K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,596 | -$62,396 | -$64,096 | -$62,996 | -$56,296 | -$54,896 | -$43,396 | -$28,196 | -$15,596 | -$4,396 | +$3,113 | +$19,636 | +$32,524 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.9% | -40.4% | -41.5% | -40.8% | -36.5% | -35.6% | -28.1% | -18.3% | -10.1% | -2.8% | +2.0% | +12.7% | +21.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $137K | $138K | $140K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $185K | $203K | $225K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$137K to $185K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$140K to $225K
45.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | +22.8% | |
| Belfast area | $107K | $125K | +16.9% | |
| Almond area | $121K | $137K | +13.3% | |
| Allen area | $101K | $113K | +12.1% | |
| New Hudson area | $142K | $156K | +9.7% | |
| Centerville area | $139K | $149K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | +22.8% | |
| Allegany (Tract 760007) | $430K | $548K | +27.4% | |
| Allegany (Tract 040002) | $452K | $576K | +27.2% | |
| Allegany (Tract 840008) | $468K | $593K | +26.5% | |
| Allegany (Tract 160005) | $461K | $582K | +26.2% | |
| Allegany (Tract 800006) | $405K | $491K | +21.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Almond area | $152K | $187K | $84K | |
| Bolivar area | $84K | $96K | $53K | |
| Amity area | $91K | $94K | $52K | |
| Genesee area | $96K | $106K | $48K | |
| Cuba area | $99K | $106K | $46K | |
| Willing area | $87K | $101K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
