What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36003951202 in Genesee area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $97,726 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36003951202 in Genesee area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $97,726 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.4%.

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Parcel 36003951202 (Genesee area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36003951202, Genesee area Home Price Forecast

Allegany, NY · ZIP 14770 · Census Tract 36003951202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$98K

Downside (P10)

$81K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$106K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$129K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$82K	$80K	$94K	$92K	$95K	$98K	$99K	$104K	$106K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$16,226	-$17,326	-$3,426	-$6,026	-$2,626		+$1,325	+$6,613	+$8,166
Growth % vs 2026	-16.6%	-17.7%	-3.5%	-6.2%	-2.7%		+1.4%	+6.8%	+8.4%
Downside (P10)							$81K	$82K	$81K
Upside (P90)							$114K	$125K	$129K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$81K to $114K

33.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$81K to $129K

44.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.4% · Spread: 45%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36003951202, Genesee area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).