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Albany, NY · Census Tract 36001920001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$579K
Downside (P10)
$441K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$721K
+25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+108% by 2030
Base case: +25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +108%. The model forecasts this with 42% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $579K | $633K | $642K | $652K | $721K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$54,436 | +$63,487 | +$73,899 | +$142,061 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +9.4% | +11.0% | +12.8% | +24.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $506K | $445K | $426K | $441K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $872K | $917K | $991K | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$506K to $872K
57.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$441K to $1.2M
105.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $579K | $721K | +24.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 360001) | $536K | $779K | +45.4% | |
| Albany (Tract 080006) | $567K | $786K | +38.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 880002) | $529K | $689K | +30.3% | |
| Albany (Tract 000002) | $586K | $727K | +24.1% | |
| Loudonville | $472K | $466K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $579K | $721K | +24.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 360001) | $536K | $779K | +45.4% | |
| Albany (Tract 080006) | $567K | $786K | +38.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 800008) | $450K | $597K | +32.7% | |
| Albany (Tract 880002) | $529K | $689K | +30.3% | |
| Albany (Tract 400000) | $789K | $996K | +26.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $579K | $721K | $763K | |
| Cohoes | $240K | $232K | $59K | |
| Watervliet | $192K | $195K | $55K | |
| Albany (Tract 001902) | $246K | $252K | $54K | |
| Albany (Tract 000700) | $124K | $123K | $31K | |
| Albany (Tract 000301) | $99K | $101K | $26K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Albany, NY · Census Tract 36001920001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$579K
Downside (P10)
$441K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$721K
+25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+108% by 2030
Base case: +25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +108%. The model forecasts this with 42% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $579K | $633K | $642K | $652K | $721K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$54,436 | +$63,487 | +$73,899 | +$142,061 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +9.4% | +11.0% | +12.8% | +24.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $506K | $445K | $426K | $441K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $872K | $917K | $991K | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$506K to $872K
57.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$441K to $1.2M
105.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $579K | $721K | +24.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 360001) | $536K | $779K | +45.4% | |
| Albany (Tract 080006) | $567K | $786K | +38.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 880002) | $529K | $689K | +30.3% | |
| Albany (Tract 000002) | $586K | $727K | +24.1% | |
| Loudonville | $472K | $466K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $579K | $721K | +24.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 360001) | $536K | $779K | +45.4% | |
| Albany (Tract 080006) | $567K | $786K | +38.6% | |
| Albany (Tract 800008) | $450K | $597K | +32.7% | |
| Albany (Tract 880002) | $529K | $689K | +30.3% | |
| Albany (Tract 400000) | $789K | $996K | +26.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $579K | $721K | $763K | |
| Cohoes | $240K | $232K | $59K | |
| Watervliet | $192K | $195K | $55K | |
| Albany (Tract 001902) | $246K | $252K | $54K | |
| Albany (Tract 000700) | $124K | $123K | $31K | |
| Albany (Tract 000301) | $99K | $101K | $26K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
