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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Washoe, NV · ZIP 89502 · Census Tract 32031000702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$599K
Downside (P10)
$501K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$627K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$834K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $304K | $343K | $427K | $580K | $573K | $599K | $601K | $624K | $627K |
| YoY Change | +12.8% | +24.5% | +35.8% | -1.1% | +4.4% | +0.3% | +3.9% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $525K | $504K | $501K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $709K | $778K | $834K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$525K to $709K
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$501K to $834K
53.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reno · 89502 · (Tract 7.2) | $582K | $627K | +7.7% | |
| Sparks (Tract 003507) | $609K | $668K | +9.8% | |
| Reno (Tract 001005) | $598K | $653K | +9.3% | |
| Reno (Tract 001101) | $595K | $632K | +6.2% | |
| Sparks (Tract 003508) | $591K | $620K | +5.0% | |
| Sparks (Tract 003109) | $592K | $611K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reno · 89502 · (Tract 7.2) | $582K | $627K | +7.7% | |
| Reno | $443K | $544K | +22.7% | |
| Reno Southwest | $798K | $978K | +22.5% | |
| Incline Village | $1.36M | $1.61M | +18.7% | |
| Reno North | $306K | $363K | +18.7% | |
| Sparks | $401K | $474K | +18.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reno · 89502 · (Tract 7.2) | $582K | $627K | $333K | |
| Sun Valley | $257K | $268K | $124K | |
| Reno | $226K | $243K | $120K | |
| Pyramid Lake | $69K | $74K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.