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Nye, NV · ZIP 89003 · Census Tract 32023960300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$100K
Downside (P10)
$82K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$141K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $62K | $81K | $82K | $79K | $106K | $104K | $106K | $129K | $126K | $98K | $100K | $102K | $104K | $105K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$38,289 | -$19,889 | -$18,889 | -$21,089 | +$5,411 | +$3,311 | +$5,311 | +$28,111 | +$25,211 | -$2,889 | +$1,942 | +$3,341 | +$4,940 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.1% | -19.8% | -18.8% | -21.0% | +5.4% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +28.0% | +25.1% | -2.9% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +4.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $87K | $86K | $82K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $123K | $129K | $141K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$87K to $123K
35.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$82K to $141K
56.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | +7.2% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960415) | $246K | $274K | +11.2% | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | +9.8% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | +7.6% | |
| Round Mountain area | $113K | $116K | +2.9% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960413) | $213K | $211K | -0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | +7.2% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960415) | $246K | $274K | +11.2% | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | +9.8% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | +7.6% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960410) | $341K | $364K | +6.8% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960407) | $270K | $287K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | $60K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960416) | $264K | $274K | $159K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | $150K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960413) | $213K | $211K | $111K | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | $95K | |
| Round Mountain area | $113K | $116K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Nye, NV · ZIP 89003 · Census Tract 32023960300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$100K
Downside (P10)
$82K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$141K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $62K | $81K | $82K | $79K | $106K | $104K | $106K | $129K | $126K | $98K | $100K | $102K | $104K | $105K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$38,289 | -$19,889 | -$18,889 | -$21,089 | +$5,411 | +$3,311 | +$5,311 | +$28,111 | +$25,211 | -$2,889 | +$1,942 | +$3,341 | +$4,940 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.1% | -19.8% | -18.8% | -21.0% | +5.4% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +28.0% | +25.1% | -2.9% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +4.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $87K | $86K | $82K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $123K | $129K | $141K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$87K to $123K
35.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$82K to $141K
56.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | +7.2% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960415) | $246K | $274K | +11.2% | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | +9.8% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | +7.6% | |
| Round Mountain area | $113K | $116K | +2.9% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960413) | $213K | $211K | -0.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | +7.2% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960415) | $246K | $274K | +11.2% | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | +9.8% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | +7.6% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960410) | $341K | $364K | +6.8% | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960407) | $270K | $287K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beatty | $98K | $105K | $60K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960416) | $264K | $274K | $159K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960414) | $226K | $243K | $150K | |
| Pahrump (Tract 960413) | $213K | $211K | $111K | |
| Ralston Valley | $143K | $157K | $95K | |
| Round Mountain area | $113K | $116K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
