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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Las Vegas, NV · ZIP 89101 · Census Tract 32003007900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$385K
Downside (P10)
$324K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$419K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$534K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $225K | $303K | $370K | $333K | $363K | $385K | $404K | $405K | $419K |
| YoY Change | +34.7% | +22.0% | -10.0% | +9.2% | +5.9% | +4.9% | +0.4% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $338K | $333K | $324K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $457K | $485K | $534K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$338K to $457K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$324K to $534K
50.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $369K | $419K | +13.4% | |
| Clark | $385K | $430K | +11.6% | |
| Spring Valley (Tract 002968) | $386K | $418K | +8.2% | |
| Las Vegas | $385K | $400K | +3.9% | |
| Spring Valley (Tract 002942) | $384K | $389K | +1.2% | |
| North Las Vegas | $386K | $384K | -0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $369K | $419K | +13.4% | |
| Winchester | $219K | $268K | +22.2% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002902) | $699K | $852K | +21.9% | |
| Las Vegas | $749K | $910K | +21.5% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002845) | $374K | $453K | +21.1% | |
| North Las Vegas | $390K | $472K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $369K | $419K | $210K | |
| Spring Valley | $98K | $106K | $56K | |
| Paradise | $57K | $64K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.