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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Las Vegas, NV · ZIP 89146 · Census Tract 32003001003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$389K
Downside (P10)
$325K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$406K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$631K
+62% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $157K | $175K | $224K | $246K | $249K | $279K | $339K | $366K | $368K | $389K | $386K | $392K | $406K |
| YoY Change | +24.0% | +11.5% | +27.9% | +10.2% | +1.2% | +11.9% | +21.4% | +8.1% | +0.4% | +5.8% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $349K | $344K | $325K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $453K | $520K | $631K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$349K to $453K
26.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$325K to $631K
75.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $380K | $406K | +6.9% | |
| North Las Vegas (Tract 003634) | $390K | $472K | +21.0% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 003307) | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Enterprise | $388K | $436K | +12.6% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 003269) | $389K | $427K | +9.7% | |
| North Las Vegas (Tract 003645) | $390K | $398K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $380K | $406K | +6.9% | |
| Winchester | $219K | $268K | +22.2% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002902) | $699K | $852K | +21.9% | |
| Las Vegas | $749K | $910K | +21.5% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002845) | $374K | $453K | +21.1% | |
| North Las Vegas | $390K | $472K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $380K | $406K | $306K | |
| Spring Valley | $98K | $106K | $56K | |
| Paradise | $57K | $64K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.