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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Las Vegas, NV · ZIP 89130 · Census Tract 32003003410 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$410K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$455K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$665K
+62% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $149K | $160K | $180K | $210K | $236K | $262K | $285K | $348K | $379K | $406K | $410K | $398K | $432K | $455K |
| YoY Change | +7.2% | +12.3% | +17.0% | +12.4% | +10.7% | +9.1% | +21.9% | +9.0% | +7.1% | +1.0% | -3.0% | +8.6% | +5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $351K | $342K | $327K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $514K | $597K | $665K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$351K to $514K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$327K to $665K
74.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas · 89130 · (Tract 34.10) | $410K | $455K | +10.9% | |
| Spring Valley | $411K | $455K | +10.6% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002844) | $409K | $450K | +9.9% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 003241) | $409K | $439K | +7.3% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002983) | $409K | $431K | +5.3% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 003306) | $411K | $426K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas · 89130 · (Tract 34.10) | $410K | $455K | +10.9% | |
| Winchester | $219K | $268K | +22.2% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002902) | $699K | $852K | +21.9% | |
| Las Vegas | $749K | $910K | +21.5% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002845) | $374K | $453K | +21.1% | |
| North Las Vegas | $390K | $472K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas · 89130 · (Tract 34.10) | $410K | $455K | $339K | |
| Spring Valley | $98K | $106K | $56K | |
| Paradise | $57K | $64K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.