Churchill, NV · ZIP 89406 · Census Tract 32001950301 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$143K
Downside (P10)
$117K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$153K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$211K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +48%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Churchill markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $107K | $101K | $123K | $126K | $136K | $99K | $124K | $156K | $160K | $138K | $143K | $149K | $152K | $153K |
| YoY Change | -6.0% | +21.4% | +2.6% | +8.3% | -27.0% | +24.6% | +25.7% | +2.7% | -13.6% | +3.1% | +4.2% | +2.6% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $123K | $122K | $117K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $174K | $184K | $211K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$123K to $174K
34.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$117K to $211K
61.5% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources