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Valencia, NM · ZIP 87031 · Census Tract 35061970103 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$270K
Downside (P10)
$215K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$278K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$362K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $118K | $150K | $225K | $239K | $257K | $270K | $270K | $276K | $278K |
| YoY Change | +27.2% | +49.4% | +6.5% | +7.4% | +5.4% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $230K | $222K | $215K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $303K | $337K | $362K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$230K to $303K
26.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$215K to $362K
52.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Lunas | $262K | $278K | +6.2% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970405) | $279K | $317K | +13.9% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970200) | $301K | $340K | +12.9% | |
| Peralta | $304K | $338K | +11.4% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970701) | $281K | $309K | +9.9% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970404) | $263K | $268K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Lunas | $262K | $278K | +6.2% | |
| Belen | $117K | $136K | +16.9% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970306) | $232K | $266K | +14.4% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970307) | $89K | $102K | +14.1% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970405) | $279K | $317K | +13.9% | |
| Los Lunas (Tract 970305) | $234K | $266K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Lunas | $262K | $278K | $147K | |
| Belen (Tract 971301) | $134K | $145K | $68K | |
| Belen (Tract 970901) | $117K | $136K | $64K | |
| Belen (Tract 971100) | $89K | $91K | $52K | |
| Los Lunas | $79K | $85K | $49K | |
| Meadow Lake | $78K | $83K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.