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Santa Fe, NM · ZIP 87505 · Census Tract 35049001107 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$367K
Downside (P10)
$335K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$396K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$468K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 82% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $212K | $215K | $210K | $224K | $247K | $262K | $320K | $336K | $361K | $367K | $379K | $384K | $396K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$146,039 | -$154,639 | -$151,939 | -$156,839 | -$143,239 | -$119,939 | -$104,839 | -$46,839 | -$30,639 | -$6,339 | +$12,003 | +$17,303 | +$28,738 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.8% | -42.1% | -41.4% | -42.7% | -39.0% | -32.7% | -28.6% | -12.8% | -8.3% | -1.7% | +3.3% | +4.7% | +7.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $332K | $331K | $335K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $414K | $452K | $468K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$332K to $414K
21.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$335K to $468K
33.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $368K | $396K | +7.6% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001106) | $388K | $432K | +11.2% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001304) | $362K | $398K | +10.0% | |
| Santa Fe South | $350K | $370K | +5.8% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001207) | $377K | $394K | +4.7% | |
| Santa Fe North | $370K | $383K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $368K | $396K | +7.6% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001103) | $427K | $506K | +18.5% | |
| Santa Fe South | $229K | $265K | +16.2% | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010102) | $272K | $312K | +14.9% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 000600) | $719K | $826K | +14.8% | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010204) | $1.13M | $1.28M | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $368K | $396K | $133K | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010102) | $272K | $312K | $145K | |
| Santa Fe South | $301K | $309K | $145K | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001203) | $232K | $248K | $123K | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 940900) | $184K | $202K | $117K | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001205) | $172K | $187K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Santa Fe, NM · ZIP 87505 · Census Tract 35049001107 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$367K
Downside (P10)
$335K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$396K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$468K
+27% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 82% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $212K | $215K | $210K | $224K | $247K | $262K | $320K | $336K | $361K | $367K | $379K | $384K | $396K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$146,039 | -$154,639 | -$151,939 | -$156,839 | -$143,239 | -$119,939 | -$104,839 | -$46,839 | -$30,639 | -$6,339 | +$12,003 | +$17,303 | +$28,738 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.8% | -42.1% | -41.4% | -42.7% | -39.0% | -32.7% | -28.6% | -12.8% | -8.3% | -1.7% | +3.3% | +4.7% | +7.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $332K | $331K | $335K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $414K | $452K | $468K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$332K to $414K
21.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$335K to $468K
33.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $368K | $396K | +7.6% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001106) | $388K | $432K | +11.2% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001304) | $362K | $398K | +10.0% | |
| Santa Fe South | $350K | $370K | +5.8% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001207) | $377K | $394K | +4.7% | |
| Santa Fe North | $370K | $383K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $368K | $396K | +7.6% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001103) | $427K | $506K | +18.5% | |
| Santa Fe South | $229K | $265K | +16.2% | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010102) | $272K | $312K | +14.9% | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 000600) | $719K | $826K | +14.8% | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010204) | $1.13M | $1.28M | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | $368K | $396K | $133K | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 010102) | $272K | $312K | $145K | |
| Santa Fe South | $301K | $309K | $145K | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001203) | $232K | $248K | $123K | |
| Santa Fe North (Tract 940900) | $184K | $202K | $117K | |
| Santa Fe (Tract 001205) | $172K | $187K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
