What is the home price forecast for Parcel 35043010726 in Rio Rancho?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $419,075 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 35043010726 in Rio Rancho?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $419,075 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.1%.

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Parcel 35043010726 (Rio Rancho) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 35043010726, Rio Rancho Home Price Forecast

Sandoval, NM · ZIP 87144 · Census Tract 35043010726 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$419K

Downside (P10)

$365K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$465K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$590K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$299K	$321K	$385K	$410K	$419K	$419K	$424K	$445K	$465K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$120,575	-$98,175	-$33,875	-$9,375	-$75		+$4,665	+$26,075	+$46,421
Growth % vs 2026	-28.8%	-23.4%	-8.1%	-2.2%	-0.0%		+1.1%	+6.2%	+11.1%
Downside (P10)							$371K	$376K	$365K
Upside (P90)							$504K	$539K	$590K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$371K to $504K

31.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$365K to $590K

48.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.1% · Spread: 48%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 35043010726, Rio Rancho on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).