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San Miguel, NM · ZIP 87552 · Census Tract 35047957602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$178K
Downside (P10)
$148K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$187K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$259K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $157K | $180K | $201K | $173K | $178K | $178K | $184K | $187K |
| YoY Change | -1.1% | +14.6% | +11.8% | -14.1% | +3.2% | -0.3% | +3.4% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $150K | $148K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $209K | $237K | $259K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$149K to $209K
34.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$148K to $259K
59.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pecos · 87552 · (Tract 9576.2) | $176K | $187K | +6.7% | |
| Trementina area | $217K | $245K | +13.0% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957502) | $212K | $232K | +9.4% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957200) | $170K | $184K | +8.1% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957800) | $197K | $212K | +8.1% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957300) | $153K | $164K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pecos · 87552 · (Tract 9576.2) | $176K | $187K | +6.7% | |
| Trementina area | $217K | $245K | +13.0% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957601) | $238K | $263K | +10.5% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957603) | $295K | $326K | +10.3% | |
| Las Vegas | $212K | $232K | +9.4% | |
| Villanueva | $124K | $136K | +9.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pecos · 87552 · (Tract 9576.2) | $176K | $187K | $111K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957800) | $197K | $212K | $112K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957300) | $153K | $164K | $92K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957200) | $170K | $184K | $82K | |
| Villanueva | $124K | $136K | $76K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957400) | $126K | $134K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.