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San Juan, NM · ZIP 87418 · Census Tract 35045943300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$173K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$231K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $182K | $185K | $175K | $163K | $156K | $159K | $170K | $189K | $209K | $214K | $215K | $223K | $231K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,141 | -$32,341 | -$29,341 | -$39,241 | -$50,441 | -$58,341 | -$54,941 | -$43,941 | -$25,341 | -$4,541 | +$954 | +$8,832 | +$17,540 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -15.5% | -15.1% | -13.7% | -18.4% | -23.6% | -27.3% | -25.7% | -20.5% | -11.9% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +4.1% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $185K | $173K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $264K | $281K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$182K to $238K
26.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$173K to $281K
46.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiprock-Sanostee area | $211K | $231K | +9.6% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000503) | $215K | $249K | +15.6% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000206) | $217K | $238K | +9.6% | |
| Aztec | $211K | $226K | +7.3% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000302) | $216K | $230K | +6.7% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000402) | $214K | $221K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiprock-Sanostee area | $211K | $231K | +9.6% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000503) | $215K | $249K | +15.6% | |
| Nenahnezad-Burnham | $86K | $97K | +13.4% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000201) | $393K | $446K | +13.3% | |
| Bloomfield (Tract 000707) | $160K | $181K | +12.8% | |
| Bloomfield (Tract 000705) | $177K | $199K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiprock-Sanostee area | $211K | $231K | $107K | |
| Aztec | $161K | $160K | $59K | |
| Napi Headquarters | $91K | $99K | $58K | |
| Shiprock-Sanostee | $109K | $116K | $56K | |
| Nenahnezad-Burnham | $86K | $97K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
San Juan, NM · ZIP 87418 · Census Tract 35045943300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$173K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$231K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $182K | $185K | $175K | $163K | $156K | $159K | $170K | $189K | $209K | $214K | $215K | $223K | $231K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,141 | -$32,341 | -$29,341 | -$39,241 | -$50,441 | -$58,341 | -$54,941 | -$43,941 | -$25,341 | -$4,541 | +$954 | +$8,832 | +$17,540 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -15.5% | -15.1% | -13.7% | -18.4% | -23.6% | -27.3% | -25.7% | -20.5% | -11.9% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +4.1% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $185K | $173K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $264K | $281K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$182K to $238K
26.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$173K to $281K
46.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiprock-Sanostee area | $211K | $231K | +9.6% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000503) | $215K | $249K | +15.6% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000206) | $217K | $238K | +9.6% | |
| Aztec | $211K | $226K | +7.3% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000302) | $216K | $230K | +6.7% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000402) | $214K | $221K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiprock-Sanostee area | $211K | $231K | +9.6% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000503) | $215K | $249K | +15.6% | |
| Nenahnezad-Burnham | $86K | $97K | +13.4% | |
| Farmington (Tract 000201) | $393K | $446K | +13.3% | |
| Bloomfield (Tract 000707) | $160K | $181K | +12.8% | |
| Bloomfield (Tract 000705) | $177K | $199K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shiprock-Sanostee area | $211K | $231K | $107K | |
| Aztec | $161K | $160K | $59K | |
| Napi Headquarters | $91K | $99K | $58K | |
| Shiprock-Sanostee | $109K | $116K | $56K | |
| Nenahnezad-Burnham | $86K | $97K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
