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McKinley, NM · ZIP 87327 · Census Tract 35031940302 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$79K
Downside (P10)
$64K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$85K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$107K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $69K | $70K | $75K | $79K | $79K | $81K | $85K | $85K | $82K |
| YoY Change | +4.1% | +1.2% | +7.3% | +5.6% | -0.3% | +2.3% | +4.8% | +0.7% | -3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $66K | $66K | $64K | $73K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $94K | $104K | $107K | $94K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$66K to $94K
34.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$73K to $94K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuni Pueblo · Zuni · (Tract 9403.2) | $79K | $85K | +7.4% | |
| Navajo Nation | $78K | $88K | +13.3% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 946001) | $84K | $94K | +11.7% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 946002) | $80K | $86K | +7.4% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 943602) | $75K | $80K | +6.6% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 945701) | $83K | $84K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuni Pueblo · Zuni · (Tract 9403.2) | $79K | $85K | +7.4% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 973100) | $155K | $186K | +20.0% | |
| Zuni | $118K | $139K | +18.6% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 946003) | $101K | $114K | +13.4% | |
| Crownpoint | $89K | $101K | +13.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.