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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
McKinley, NM · ZIP 87326 · Census Tract 35031945702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$52K
Downside (P10)
$42K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$52K
-0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$71K
+38% by 2030
Base case: -0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $43K | $34K | $32K | $28K | $50K | $52K | $51K | $52K | $52K |
| YoY Change | -20.7% | -5.3% | -12.8% | +79.9% | +3.1% | -0.9% | +1.0% | -0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $43K | $44K | $42K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $62K | $65K | $71K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$43K to $62K
38.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$42K to $71K
55.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Rock · Vanderwagen · (Tract 9457.2) | $51K | $52K | +0.8% | |
| Navajo Nation (Tract 943801) | $52K | $58K | +11.1% | |
| Navajo Nation (Tract 943802) | $61K | $66K | +8.1% | |
| Navajo Nation (Tract 943803) | $54K | $58K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Rock · Vanderwagen · (Tract 9457.2) | $51K | $52K | +0.8% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 973100) | $155K | $186K | +20.0% | |
| Zuni | $118K | $139K | +18.6% | |
| Red Rock (Tract 946003) | $101K | $114K | +13.4% | |
| Crownpoint | $89K | $101K | +13.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.