What is the home price forecast for North Harding area?

Homecastr forecasts North Harding area median home values at $71,871 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.3%.

How confident is the North Harding area forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $56,827 (downside) to $94,037 (upside), with a spread of 49% of median.

Explore Map

Loading forecast data...

Ready to see your forecast?

Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.

Get My Forecast Browse Markets

North Harding area Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

North Harding area Home Price Forecast

Harding, NM · ZIP 87743 · Census Tract 35021000100 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$72K

Downside (P10)

$57K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$76K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$94K

+31% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$66K	$66K	$68K	$83K	$102K	$88K	$79K	$96K	$87K	$70K	$72K	$72K	$76K	$76K
YoY Change		+0.5%	+3.0%	+22.4%	+23.4%	-14.6%	-10.3%	+21.7%	-9.4%	-19.1%	+2.7%	+0.6%	+4.6%	+1.1%
Downside (P10)												$58K	$57K	$57K
Upside (P90)												$84K	$93K	$94K

Location

North Harding area on map

Open Full Map ↗

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.

1-Year Spread

$58K to $84K

34.8% of median

5-Year Spread

$57K to $94K

48.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.3% · Spread: 49%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

No comparable areas found for this neighborhood. This usually happens when only a small number of tracts in the county have forecast coverage.

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).