Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Doña Ana, NM · ZIP 88011 · Census Tract 35013001210 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$352K
Downside (P10)
$316K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$378K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$523K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $284K | $290K | $327K | $320K | $342K | $352K | $360K | $369K | $378K | $351K |
| YoY Change | +2.2% | +12.5% | -2.1% | +7.2% | +2.7% | +2.3% | +2.6% | +2.4% | -7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $324K | $318K | $316K | $315K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $433K | $486K | $523K | $404K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$324K to $433K
30.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$315K to $404K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88011 · (Tract 12.10) | $348K | $378K | +8.7% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001209) | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| Doña Ana-Hill (Tract 001318) | $384K | $427K | +11.3% | |
| Fairacres | $340K | $363K | +6.6% | |
| Doña Ana-Hill (Tract 001308) | $327K | $345K | +5.5% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001208) | $370K | $380K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88011 · (Tract 12.10) | $348K | $378K | +8.7% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001106) | $316K | $380K | +20.1% | |
| Doña Ana-Hill | $239K | $280K | +17.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001203) | $276K | $323K | +16.9% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001209) | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| South Doña Ana | $228K | $265K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88011 · (Tract 12.10) | $348K | $378K | $207K | |
| Sunland Park | $110K | $124K | $62K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001807) | $101K | $114K | $59K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001814) | $101K | $106K | $56K | |
| Hatch | $97K | $110K | $55K | |
| Chaparral | $90K | $92K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.