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Doña Ana, NM · ZIP 88005 · Census Tract 35013000206 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$148K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$277K
+63% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +63%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $79K | $98K | $142K | $154K | $168K | $170K | $174K | $181K | $191K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$91,128 | -$71,928 | -$27,828 | -$16,428 | -$2,228 | +$4,207 | +$11,178 | +$20,648 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.6% | -42.3% | -16.4% | -9.7% | -1.3% | +2.5% | +6.6% | +12.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $151K | $148K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $219K | $252K | $277K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$149K to $219K
40.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$148K to $277K
67.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88005 · (Tract 2.6) | $171K | $191K | +11.1% | |
| Anthony | $166K | $185K | +11.4% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000102) | $176K | $194K | +10.0% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000902) | $169K | $185K | +9.5% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000402) | $164K | $170K | +3.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000300) | $167K | $170K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88005 · (Tract 2.6) | $171K | $191K | +11.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001106) | $316K | $380K | +20.1% | |
| Doña Ana-Hill | $239K | $280K | +17.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001203) | $276K | $323K | +16.9% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001209) | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| South Doña Ana | $228K | $265K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88005 · (Tract 2.6) | $171K | $191K | $129K | |
| Sunland Park | $110K | $124K | $62K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001807) | $101K | $114K | $59K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001814) | $101K | $106K | $56K | |
| Hatch | $97K | $110K | $55K | |
| Chaparral | $90K | $92K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Doña Ana, NM · ZIP 88005 · Census Tract 35013000206 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$148K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$277K
+63% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +63%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $79K | $98K | $142K | $154K | $168K | $170K | $174K | $181K | $191K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$91,128 | -$71,928 | -$27,828 | -$16,428 | -$2,228 | +$4,207 | +$11,178 | +$20,648 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.6% | -42.3% | -16.4% | -9.7% | -1.3% | +2.5% | +6.6% | +12.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $151K | $148K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $219K | $252K | $277K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$149K to $219K
40.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$148K to $277K
67.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88005 · (Tract 2.6) | $171K | $191K | +11.1% | |
| Anthony | $166K | $185K | +11.4% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000102) | $176K | $194K | +10.0% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000902) | $169K | $185K | +9.5% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000402) | $164K | $170K | +3.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 000300) | $167K | $170K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88005 · (Tract 2.6) | $171K | $191K | +11.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001106) | $316K | $380K | +20.1% | |
| Doña Ana-Hill | $239K | $280K | +17.1% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001203) | $276K | $323K | +16.9% | |
| Las Cruces (Tract 001209) | $343K | $400K | +16.6% | |
| South Doña Ana | $228K | $265K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Cruces · 88005 · (Tract 2.6) | $171K | $191K | $129K | |
| Sunland Park | $110K | $124K | $62K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001807) | $101K | $114K | $59K | |
| Anthony (Tract 001814) | $101K | $106K | $56K | |
| Hatch | $97K | $110K | $55K | |
| Chaparral | $90K | $92K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
